Sattar Chavoshi; Mohammad Reza Yazdani; Abdorasoul Telvari
Volume 1, Issue 3 , October 2009, , Pages 153-159
Abstract
Flood risk estimation is one of the most important subjects for Hydrologists. The main objective of flood risk estimation is study on past events in order to determine the following flood risk. There are various methods for flood risk estimation. Rainfall- runoff and empirical equations are the most ...
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Flood risk estimation is one of the most important subjects for Hydrologists. The main objective of flood risk estimation is study on past events in order to determine the following flood risk. There are various methods for flood risk estimation. Rainfall- runoff and empirical equations are the most recently used methods. In these methods, rainfall is the main parameter influencing flood mechanism. In this research, spatial distribution of rainfall pattern in Esfahan province is studied. Esfahan province with 10.5 million ha area is located in central part of Iran with different topography, climate and ecological condition. A number of 203 rainguages, located in the study area and nearby, were studied. Recorded data of 32 years, from 1968-2000 and a total number of 1654 storm events with less than 1 hour to 72 hours duration were investigated and three index events, i.e. widespread and maximum events, were used. The common methods of geostatistics like kriging, Co-kriging, IDW and TPSS were applied to interpolate the recorded points to non-observed ones. Results showed a low correlation between rainfall and elevation in the study area. Among the studied interpolation methods, kriging showed the best results, from which the Gussian and Spherical models best fitted to the observed points. In order to gain best results, it is recommended to add the number of rainfall gauge sites according to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) standards. Also, grouping the study area into homogeneous regions and studying DAD in each homogeneous region is advised.
Mohammad Reza Yazdani; Sattar Chavoshi; Morteza Khodagholi; Bahram Saghafian
Volume 1, Issue 3 , October 2009, , Pages 167-178
Abstract
Most parts of the Isfahan province are located in central arid land of Iran and are sensitive to drought occurrences. So it is required to study drought for prediction. There are many ways to define drought using different indicators. Climatology drought was evaluated using annual precipitation time ...
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Most parts of the Isfahan province are located in central arid land of Iran and are sensitive to drought occurrences. So it is required to study drought for prediction. There are many ways to define drought using different indicators. Climatology drought was evaluated using annual precipitation time series and different truncation levels including 30% 40, 50, 60, 70, 80, 90 and 95%. In this study 85 precipitation stations were selected in Isfahan province and around of it, in period of 1966-1998.Interpolation methods such as, kriging, Co-kriging, inverse distance weighted and TPSS were evaluated for interpolation of truncation levels and the error of each method was calculated. In the selected methods, Co-kriging method had minimum error and TPSS method had maximum error. Drought extension maps were drawn for each truncation levels using ILWIS software. Also water volume of probable precipitation is calculated for each truncation levels. Results showed about half of rainfall events occurred in 30 percent truncation level, whereas about 80 percent of the events are in 30 percent truncation level. Thus intense droughts occurred in the study area. Maximum frequency of drought occurrences in basis of truncation levels in study area are 30, 80, 60, 50, 40, 90, 70, 95%, respectively. Results indicated that truncation levels are suitable method for climatological drought evaluation in the studied area.
